By this time, we all know the Bills secured the fifth seed with the top Wild Card spot in the AFC after Week 15's win over the Steelers. What remains a question is who they will face in the first round? Their opponent in the playoffs is down to two teams — the Houston Texans and the Kansas City Chiefs. Buffalo will know its fate after Sunday's games.
CHARGERS (5-10, 3-4 Away) at CHIEFS (11-4, 4-3 Home) at 1:00 PM on CBS
If the Chiefs win this game, they earn the two or three seed in the playoffs. That means Buffalo would play Houston. The Chiefs are listed as a nine-point favorite ahead of the game.
The Chiefs are ranked fourth offensively and are averaging 28 points a game, while the Chargers sit at 10th averaging 21.1 points a game. Los Angeles has the higher ranked defense at six, but Kansas City has allowed an average of 7.8 points in the last four games which leads the league.
TITANS (8-7, 4-3 Away) at TEXANS (10-5, 5-2 Home) at 4:25 PM on CBS
The Titans are a three-and-a-half-point favorite in this matchup. This one could be close as Tennessee averages 24.5 points a game and Houston averages .2 less at 24.3 points per game. The Titans have the 22nd ranked defense, Houston's defense is 28th.
If the Texans beat the Titans and the Chiefs lose to the Chargers, then Houston earns the higher seed over the Chiefs. Their records would both be 11-5, but Houston beat Kansas City in Week 6 and holds the tiebreaker. Therefore, Chiefs would be the four seed and play the Bills in the first round of the playoffs.
If the Chiefs and the Texans lose, Kansas City would hold the better record and lock in the three seed. Houston would be the four seed and take on the Bills.
If both teams win, the Chiefs would own the better record. The Texans would then play Buffalo in the first round.
JETS (6-9, 1-6 Away) at BILLS (10-5, 4-3 Home) at 1:00 PM on CBS
The Bills are a one-and-a-half-point favorite over the Jets in the last home game of the season. The outcome of this game does not affect the Bills in the playoffs because they already own the fifth seed. Since 2012, Buffalo is 5-2 at home against the Jets and have a point differential of plus 81 in those seven games.
If the Bills beat the Jets, Buffalo will get to 11 wins on the season for the first time since 1999. With 11 wins, the Bills would finish the regular season with a winning record at home and on the road for the first time since 1999 as well.
The Bills are 24th on offense and average 20.5 points a game, while the Jets are at the bottom of the league and average three points fewer a contest. The Jets allow an average of 324.1 yards per game which is good for seventh best and have the second best run defense allowing only 87.9 rushing yards a game.
Buffalo has the NFL's third-ranked defense and has been top three for most of the season allowing an average of 300.1 yards per game. The Bills are the only team in the NFL to have a top three total defense in 2018 and 2019.
