The Buffalo Bills are 3.0-point favorites when they travel to face the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field. Kickoff is set for 4:05 pm and the game will air on FOX.
Here are some additional notes for Sunday's matchup
- Bills are looking to win their first game in Seattle since Nov. 28. 2004
- Josh Allen is 21-6 against NFC opponents
- Bills are 5-0 against teams with records below .500 and 0-2 against teams with a record of .500 or better this season
- Seattle is 2-1 against teams with winning records in 2024
- Since 2017, the Bills are 6-2 (.750) against west coast teams - the third best winning percentage among AFC teams
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen has a new No. 1 wide receiver, and he's yet to throw an interception this season.
Last week, the Bills acquired wideout Amari Cooper from the Cleveland Browns. He paid immediate dividends, hauling in four out of five targets for 66 yards and a touchdown against the Tennessee Titans.
The Bills also have a solid complementary running back who can spell James Cook in rookie fourth-rounder Ray Davis, who's rushed for 138 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries over the last two weeks.
Buffalo's offense is on the upswing, while the Seattle Seahawks may have to work around a key injury, which scared our panel away from them in this matchup.
According to ESPN's Adam Schefter, DK Metcalf is week-to-week with a Grade 1 MCL sprain. Without Metcalf, the Seahawks could struggle to generate explosive plays.
O'Donnell sided with the Bills to cover as their offense picks up steam.
"Seattle has lost each of its last two home games. In the Geno Smith era (or since the start of the 2022 season), the Seahawks are 12-9 straight up at home and only 8-12-1 ATS," O'Donnell noted. "Josh Allen leads a top-five scoring offense, and the Bills lead the league in turnover differential.
"The Bills' only winning margin of three or fewer was on Monday Night Football against the division-rival Jets. Seattle's win in Atlanta last week isn't enough to force me to overthink this one. Even if the game is close-ish throughout, everything points in Buffalo's direction when it matters most. I'm leaning more toward the Bills running away with this one, actually."
Predictions
Davenport: Bills
Gagnon: Bills
Hanford: Bills
Knox: Bills
Michelino: Bills
Moton: Bills
O'Donnell: Bills
Sobleski: Seahawks
ATS Consensus: Bills -3
Score Prediction: Bills 27, Seahawks 23
Why Ali picked the Bills: Mike Macdonald's defense answered the call in resounding fashion last Sunday in Atlanta, forcing three takeaways (including a critical strip-sack score) and limiting the Falcons to just 14 points after giving up a staggering 35.7 average over their previous three games -- all losses. They'll need to build on that performance against a Bills team that just hung 389 yards and 34 unanswered points on the NFL's top-ranked defense. Unlike Atlanta, which has been generous with the football this season, Buffalo ranks first in giveaways (two) and second in turnover margin (+10). The Bills are a disciplined team, hell-bent on winning the line of scrimmage and eliminating big plays -- which should be much easier to do if DK Metcalf (knee) is unavailable. And while some folks might want to make a big deal out of the time-zone change and travel distance Buffalo will have to deal with this weekend, I'm not convinced either will matter. Sure, this will be Josh Allen's first NFL game in Seattle, but he's a cool 5-1 for his career in games played west of Kansas. He's also had his way with the NFC in recent years, winning as many games against the conference as Geno Smith since the start of the 2021 season (13-3 vs. 13-14). As impressive as the Seahawks looked last time out, the Bills have the edge in too many areas (a lot of four- and five-star ratings for Buffalo in the NFL Pro matchup comparison …) for me to pick against them.
This is one of the better games of the weekend, as the Seattle Seahawks are 3-point home underdogs to the Buffalo Bills. Amari Cooper immediately made his presence felt with the Bills in Week 7, scoring a touchdown in his first game. It will take a bit for him to be totally comfortable in the offense, but he gives the Bills another weapon that can beat 1-on-1 coverage.
Still, this could be a tough matchup for Buffalo. The Seahawks have one of the league's most balanced offenses, and Kenneth Walker III is having a career season. Plus, Geno Smith is near the top of the league in passing yards.
Expect this to be a fairly high-scoring contest, with the Seahawks getting the home win. This truly feels like a 50-50 game, but the fact that Seattle is home could end up being the deciding factor.
Score Prediction: Seahawks 27, Bills 24
This one could go either way. The Seahawks not having DK Metcalf and the Bills having Amari Cooper could be the difference.
Florio: Bills, 27-23.
Simms: Bills, 28-24.
Buffalo Bills (-3) at Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks' 20-point win was one of the most misleading box scores of Week 7. Seattle won the game comfortably on the scoreboard, but the underlying statistics like total yards and yards per play were much closer.
Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf is considered week-to-week with an MCL sprain, so odds are he will not be playing on Sunday as the Seahawks host the Bills. This will be a major test for new Seattle offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb, who has yet to find a way to scheme around the offensive line issues. Geno Smith has constantly been under duress this season, and it will be difficult to hit explosive plays against the Buffalo two-high shell defense without Metcalf.
The Seahawks are still among the league's best at generating pressure defensively, and their run defense was considerably improved with the return of Byron Murphy II to the defensive line last week in the win against the Falcons. Generating pressure is a staple of the Mike Macdonald defense, and it will be a fun chess match between him and Josh Allen. This is the game I'm most excited to watch, but I'm in line with the market on the side and total.
Verdict: Pass
Scroll to see the best photos from Thursday's practice as the Buffalo Bills prepare to face the Seattle Seahawks.
James Cook (4). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
James Cook (4). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
O'Cyrus Torrence (64), Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Khalil Shakir (10). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17), Joe Brady. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Mack Hollins (13). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Nick Morrow (32). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Quintin Morris (85), Dalton Kincaid (86). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dorian Williams (42). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Mitchell Trubisky (11). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Mike White (14), Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Amari Cooper (18). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Cam Lewis (39). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Spencer Brown (79), O'Cyrus Torrence (64), Alec Anderson (70). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dawuane Smoot (94). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Austin Johnson (98). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Kaiir Elam (5). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Damar Hamlin (3). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Reid Ferguson (69). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Tyler Bass (2). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Curtis Samuel (1). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dalton Kincaid (86). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
DeWayne Carter (90). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Eli Ankou (51). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Damar Hamlin (3). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
DaQuan Jones (92). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Joe Andreessen (44). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dawson Knox (88). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Ray Davis (22). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Damar Hamlin (3). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
A.J. Epenesa (57), Marcus West. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Marcus West. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Casey Toohill (99). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Bobby Babich. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Greg Rousseau (50). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Kaiir Elam (5). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Kingsley Jonathan (59). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dawson Knox (88). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dalton Kincaid (86). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dalton Kincaid (86), Quintin Morris (85), Zach Davidson (84), Dawson Knox (88). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Mike White (14) Ronald Curry. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Shane Buechele (6), Mike White (14), Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dalton Kincaid (86). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dalton Kincaid (86). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Mike White (14). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dalton Kincaid (86). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Brandon Beane. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Reggie Gilliam (41). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Zach Davidson (84). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
DJ Mangas, Amari Cooper (18), Khalil Shakir (10). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Keon Coleman (0). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Khalil Shakir (10). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Keon Coleman (0), Amari Cooper (18). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Rasul Douglas (31), Christian Benford (47). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Tyrell Shavers (80). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
KJ Hamler (19). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Ja'Marcus Ingram (46). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Rasul Douglas (31). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Jahmile Addae. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Rasul Douglas (31). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Keon Coleman (0), Mack Hollins (13). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Keon Coleman (0), Amari Cooper (18). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Jalen Virgil (89). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Sean McDermott, Joe Brady. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Mike White (14), Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Cole Bishop (24). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Cole Bishop (24). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Ty Johnson (26). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Spencer Brown (79), Shane Buechele (6), David Edwards (76). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Mitchell Trubisky (11). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Amari Cooper (18). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Quintin Morris (85), Spencer Brown (79), O'Cyrus Torrence (64), David Edwards (76), Dion Dawkins (73). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
James Cook (4). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
James Cook (4). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Reid Ferguson (69). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Alec Anderson (70), O'Cyrus Torrence (64). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Kori Reblin. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Khalil Shakir (10), Keon Coleman (0). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Mack Hollins (13). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Spencer Brown (79), Mack Hollins (13). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Greg Rousseau (50). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Greg Rousseau (50). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Matt Edwards. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Ed Oliver (91). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Mack Hollins (13). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Taron Johnson (7). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Taylor Rapp (9). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Taylor Rapp (9). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Lucas Havrisik (30), Sam Martin (8). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Scott Booker, Al Holcomb. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Taron Johnson (7), Rasul Douglas (31). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Ed Oliver (91). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Tyler Bass (2), Sam Martin (8). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Scott Booker. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Reggie Gilliam (41), Zach Davidson (84). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Josh Allen (17). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Amari Cooper (18). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
. Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
James Cook (4). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
James Cook (4). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Alec Anderson (70). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dawson Knox (88). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dawson Knox (88). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Keon Coleman (0). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Ty Johnson (26). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Lewis Cine (36). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Dorian Williams (42), Joe Andreessen (44), Nick Morrow (32). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Eli Ankou (51), DaQuan Jones (92). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
Ed Oliver (91). Buffalo Bills Week 8 practice, October 24, 2024 at the Buffalo Bills Training Center.
This is a long, tough road trip for the Bills. Seattle can score on anybody, which will challenge the Buffalo defense. But I think the Bills offense will really get it going here. Look for a lot of points with the Bills coming away with the victory thanks to a late-touchdown pass from Josh Allen.
Pick: Bills 34, Seahawks 28
Josh Allen loves having Amari Cooper among his weapons, as youngsters Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid delivered great trickle-down impact against the Titans defense after a slow start. Here, the focus should be running on both sides with QBs and running backs alike given that's where the defensive weaknesses lie. The Bills survive with a late drive fueled by Allen's legs to get over another big ground game by Kenneth Walker III.
Pick: Bills win 27-23 and cover the spread.
Bills storyline to watch: Scoring points on the road hasn't been a strong point for the Bills, who are averaging 21 points in the four games away from Orchard Park, New York, this season (2-2 in those games). There will be an opportunity to amend that against a Seahawks defense that has allowed 23.4 points per game (19th) this year. The offense will be assisted by WR Amari Cooper playing in his second game with the Bills. -- Alaina Getzenberg
Seahawks storyline to watch: After allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per game (146.1) through Week 7, the Seahawks are hoping their trade for LB Ernest Jones IV will help one of the league's worst run defenses. Jones, who's sliding into the middle linebacker spot in coach Mike Macdonald's defense, will face the Bills for the second week in a row. He recorded five tackles, a QB hit and a pass defensed for the Titans in their loss to Buffalo last Sunday. -- Brady Henderson
Stat to know: If the Seahawks score over 20 points for the eighth straight game, they'll tie the longest streak of reaching that mark to begin a season in franchise history (2020).
Bold prediction: Bills TE Dalton Kincaid will record six or more receptions. Seahawks CB Riq Woolen has a 9% target rate allowed this season, per NFL Next Gen Stats, which should funnel targets away from outside receivers. That could mean more targets for Kincaid, who would also see some snaps against Jones in his first game with the Seahawks. -- Walder
Fantasy X factor: Cooper. He was eased into action in Week 7, playing just 35% of snaps. Cooper had five targets and finished with 16.6 fantasy points despite a limited role. Cooper could be a game-changer for the rest of the season and has WR1 potential catching passes from QB Josh Allen. See Week 8 rankings. -- Moody
Betting nugget: The Seahawks are 17-7 ATS as home underdogs since 2011, including 4-3 ATS in QB Geno Smith starts.
Kahler's pick: Bills 24, Seahawks 22
Moody's pick: Bills 28, Seahawks 27
Walder's pick: Bills 24, Seahawks 21
FPI prediction: BUF, 63.8% (by an average of 5.0 points)
The re-energized Buffalo Bills are on course for a fifth straight AFC East crown, but a visit to the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday will tell us more about both teams' playoff upside.
Though Seattle snapped a three-game skid last weekend, my Bills vs Seahawks predictions lean towards Buffalo — and my NFL picks focus on a big day for Josh Allen's newest weapon in this October 27 showdown.
Who will win Bills vs Seahawks?
There were encouraging signs for the Seattle Seahawks following their Week 7 road win over the Atlanta Falcons, but the injury blows keep coming and the hosts enter this marquee matchup with some big names on the injury report.
Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills pummeled the Tennessee Titans last weekend with 34 straight points, and four Buffalo receivers finished with more than 50 yards. That kind of balance should help the visitors sustain long drives to silence the Lumen Field crowd and grind out the win.
